Sunday, July 23, 2006

MUSINGS ON LEBANESE, WEAPONS AND CONDINISTA FOREIGN POLICY

Almost every major city in the USA has its cadre of lebanese-americans. Virtually without exception, they are enterprising, hard-working, law-abiding and community-minded. These folks are a very important part of our commerce and politics. If you need an example, Peoria, Illinois will do nicely. They are part of a close and warm connection between the Lebanese people and the American People. It's not by accident that "The American University" is in Beirut. Damage to this important country and to relatives of our citizens is not to be taken lightly.

On the other hand, we are, in effect, the sponsor of the Jewish State. But for Harry Truman and Clark Clifford, there would be no Israel.

We're in an obvious spot. We can't tell Israel to moderate their response after we've occupied two countries, now can we? OTOH, if we don't bring about some relief for innocent civilians in Lebanon, some of our own citizens are going to be left feeling unsupported. So far Condi and that preening, unconfirmed, colonialist with the bad mustache, Bolton, have pretty much said "Well, Stuff happens." How long before, for example, Ray LaHood, says, "Boys and Girls, that's not good enough. Let's get a lid on this."?

It'd be a hard argument to ignore. We can tell Turkey what foreign policy to have and mock France for differing with us but we can't make any suggestions to Israel on matters effecting our most important goal, peace in the middle east? This is what I love about Condi/Shrub. When it suits us, we tell everybody else on the planet how to act--the world's only superpower, goes the tiresome truism--but when we're in the hot seat we just respect the hell out of everybody else's sovereignty and offer no direction. It's pretty weak and it's pretty phony.

On another topic, has anybody else noticed that Hezbollah does not seem to be running out of weaponry? Of course you have. It's an open secret that Israel has one of the finest field intelligence services in the history of the world but they obviously didn't plan for this much hardware in response to their Lebanon/Gaza strikes. By now, their intelligence weenies are in the "Whoopsie!" mode and under enormous pressure to track the sources of this weaponry. Keep in mind this stuff does not just move because all concerned desire "death to the unbelievers!" It moves because people make a freaking profit on it. As a general rule, that kind of money leaves tracks. Israeli intelligence officers will find the money trail. Whoever made a profit on these deals (Arab, Jew or Christian) is probably going to wish they had gone into another line of work. This is nothing you will read about in the newspaper. Bad things will start happening to these folks (and probably their families) and it won't matter whether they change their names and move to Argentina or Siberia. Payback, in this case, will probably literally be Hell.

I know this is not nearly as important as flag burning, gay marriage, the Jon McCoy for Sheriff Barbecue, Patronage in local government, School Zone Speeding enforcement, The 93rd Legislative District election or Phil Hare's Grade Point Average in High School but it seemed to merit a day's worth of discussion before Beirut, "The Paris of the Middle East" burns to the ground.

Oh, yeah, before some of you flip completely out, note that this discussion is completely about United States Foreign Policy and Israeli intelligence--Not about how poorly Lebanon has handled its end of this whole mess, before, after and during, which I concede in a heartbeat. Nor is it about Israel's right to defend itself.

6 Comments:

At 6:48 AM, July 25, 2006, Blogger UMRBlog said...

Yes, we're gonna have to find a way to restore him to useful citizenship. Maybe 12 step groups and Victim Impact Panels.

 
At 10:43 AM, July 27, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

what do you mean by- the mossad did their version of 9-11

 
At 3:17 PM, July 28, 2006, Blogger UMRBlog said...

Lootie's right but, even more, they whizzed depth of the arms supply. They're thinking 200 and it's more like 2000, maybe more. Those transactions leave tracks and our heroes missed the tracks. Heads will quietly roll later.


TYFCB

 
At 11:48 AM, July 29, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't know if the mossad was shocked
but here in israel no one was shocked to see the missles reach haifa,
people were surprised because it is new to them, but not shoked because we've been told they have this ability, it is known for years that hizbullah has rockets that can reach far beyond haifa.
about the missle that hit the ship, I agree, no one seen this comming.

(sorry for my bad english)

 
At 12:16 PM, July 29, 2006, Blogger UMRBlog said...

Foox,

I don't think Israeli intel was surprised that Hezzy had strong starting pitching. It has been the depth of the bullpen that they somehow missed.

 
At 12:41 AM, July 30, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

thanks lootie.
I wish it was that easy, the fact you are on the right side (the good ones) doesn't mean you're gonna win.
it's almost imposible to defeat terrorist organizations by military force only, and without harming the population, for this to happen there must be a strong govermnemt and condemnation of the local population, both of which lebanon doesn't have.
Israel won't win this war, instead it will create a new pricelist, so it will be clear to lebanon what price it will pay for it's small-mindedness,
as it seems to me now there's a chance Hezbullah might overtake the control over lebanon which certainty will create a new middle east.

 

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