THOUGHTS FOR THE PARK BOARD ON BLOWING UP THE THIRD NINE
REMARKS TO PARK BOARD/WRITTEN VERSION LEFT WITH
BOARD 05/21/13 PUBLIC MEETING WITH NGCA
ECONOMIC STUDY
Mr. President, Commissioners
and Mr. Executive Director, thank you for your service and your stewardship.
My name is Anthony
Cameron. My address is 529 Hampshire St. I am here as a friend of Scotty Glasgow,
a volunteer committeeperson for “the Scotty” and self-appointed counsel for all
the youth and beginning golfers of the future. More on that in a minute.
Your third nine is a
true treasure. When one finds oneself in possession of a treasure there is a
resulting obligation to take care of, to make the most of it.
Let me tell you a brief
story about your treasure. It was sometime between 1985 and 1988. I wish I
could be more specific about the year. I
was on an airplane from Phoenix to St. Louis. There was a man a few rows behind
me who looked very familiar. I thought I had seen his face in a golf magazine.
When I got onto the commuter airline to shuttle to Quincy, he was on my flight.
We talked. His name was Ed Ault. He was a golf course designer and he was going
to Quincy to look at a golf hole that was an outstanding representation of a
certain architecture style. He intended
to incorporate that style into a course he was building near Phoenix. The hole?
Number 22, a perfect representation of the linksland “washboard” style of
conflict without using linksland.
We live in an age of
specialization. You have a monopoly on two very valuable things. First, you
have the only freestanding nine hole public golf course in the immediate area.
Anyone nearby who wants to play nine holes of public golf virtually must come
and see you. Is it is an enviable position. Additionally, you have the only
contiguous 27 hole facility for more than 100 miles. No publicly owned facility in downstate
Illinois can match your number of holes of availability.
If you were giving up that
specialization to create something where you were literally without competition,
that would be at least rational. This plan, however, seeks to build an
executive course, within one mile of an existing and apparently successful
executive course. It also seeks to build a practice facility within 1 mile of
an existing and successful practice facility. The logic of tearing down a true
monopoly to compete with a benevolent and successful local not-for-profit truly
escapes me.
I am told that this
decision is driven by a need for new revenue from this portion of the property.
Understandably, you wish to increase revenue. To calculate whether anything will
increase revenue, you would first have to have a mechanism by which you could
know what revenues the third nine now brings in. When someone buys a hot dog, a
dozen balls or a golf club, how do you know which nine accounted for that
retail purchase?
How do you know whether your marketing program has optimized the
monopoly you have in the treasure that is your third nine? Most respectfully, I
believe you are missing data to support any teardown of an existing, viable
recreational facility.
Indeed, strongly
marketing the third nine might resolve your revenue problem altogether. I’ll
bet a lot of local kids would jump at the chance to play nine with a devil or
raider varsity player. If a passholder kid could bring his non-passholder
playmate out one time all day for two dollars or five dollars, you’d be making
more golfers.
Scotty Glasgow always
said that the way to succeed in the golf business is to “make more golfers.” My
friend and PGA professional, Steve Cramblitt, in his homage to Scotty last
Friday said “Scotty was the First Tee before there was a First Tee.” The purpose of the back nine, as built, was
to help “make more golfers.” In the final analysis more golfers in our area
means more revenue for Westview.
The National Golf Foundation states that a so-called
“core golfer” is a reliable source of revenue for local public courses. The
definition of “core golfer,” is a modest one. A core golfer is simply someone
who plays 8 or more rounds of golf per year.
In the 70s and 80s,
Quincy made core golfers by the dozen, largely through the inviting nature of
the third nine. If that gateway to pleasurable golf is cut off, it can be
virtually guaranteed that we will make core golfers at a much slower rate.
National Golf Foundation
statistics are difficult for me to access because I am not a member. This much
is clear: in every 15 year period there is a roughly five-year period of
decline. The other approximately 10 years are growth. By that statistic, it
would appear we are coming to the end of the period of decline, which began in
approximately 2008. People will need places to play if there is to be growth.
Take away golf holes and you don’t give the natural growth a place to happen.
What if you tear out the
back nine and find there was and continues to be a need for those golf
holes? Baseline, it costs about a
million dollars to build a nine-holer. Do
you really have enough data to make this decision?
Finally, we should focus
on your core constituency here at Westview, your season pass holders. By and
large they appreciate this place. They respect it. They replace divots and
fixe ball marks. They are loyal to the continued success of Westview and are
entitled to loyalty in return. Look at your own schedule on your webpage. There
are 35 days listed entailing golf course unavailability or closure. Anyone who
plays here regularly will tell you there will ultimately be for five more days
that are not on the list on your web page but the course is closed for outings
or some such. Right now, those passholders can still play golf. If you take out
the back nine, you have taken those passholders off the golf course for more
than 25% of the viable golf season. (Using 150 days for the golf season and 40
days of golf course closure). If you take that step, you have devalued the pass
by about 30% but conditions will not allow you to reduce its purchase price by
that much.
Leaving the third nine
in and marketing it to “make golfers” yields a realistic business model to
increase your revenues. Tearing out the third nine amounts to negative market-making.
You will be creating an environment in which the market for your principal
service, the enjoyment of golf, inevitably shrinks and shrinks because of
conditions, you, the seller, created.
Thank you for the opportunity be heard. I leave you my complete remarks in written
form and a copy of the NGCA economic report on the prospects of golf
rebounding.
2 Comments:
Just to be clear to those who were there to hear my remarks. These were the prepared, written remarks. My oral remarks also dealt with "Golf 2.0" and the suggested dichotomy of "Do this" or "do nothing" as if there were no other choices.
Mike Hancox, Dave Hogge and Terry Traeder added particularly valuable insights.
Tony I agree with everything you said.
"Birdcage"
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