Sunday, August 31, 2008

FAIRBANKS, WAZOO, ST PAUL: THE KEY WAS THE GAMBIT, NOT THE GOVERNOR

There are two questions floating around here and they are getting hoplessly mixed up by analysts.

The first question is does the selection of the lovely Sarah Heath Palin advance the GOP ticket's chance for success. Damned if I know. Kinda depends upon her performance, doesn't it. Jason Isringhausen looked good on paper and Jim Edmonds didn't. Gotta perform when the bell rings.

The second question is whether manner and method of the announcement helped the GOP.
Are you kidding? Look my democrat friends: we had best face it. We're not playing with kids here. This was one of the best political gambits I have ever seen at any level, anywhere.

First, they leaked that Romney would be in Dayton. Then they leaked that Pawlenty had cancelled his sched for the next day and had booked a plane to Dayton. Then they announced that any leak was not only unauthorized but without basis because only two people knew the selection.

Then about 0730 on the fateful day, the leaked that Romney was NOT coming to Dayton. A half hour later they leaked that Pawlenty had been told it was not him. Another half hour later they leaked that Palin had canceled her sched and was coming to Dayton. BUT THEY KNEW THE PRESS KNEW JACK ABOUT PALIN. Did the McCain camp help educate the press about Palin? Hell, no. They made the newsies actually do newsie work. The reporters became obsessed with the story. The Obama brilliant speech, just 12 hours earlier was wiped from the history books. Except for the front page of USAT, it might as well not have happened.

McCain's people have created a new verb in politics. The "de-bumped" the opponent.

The discipline and the planning orchestration for this thing was nothing short of brilliant. McCain's folks just blocked out the Sun.

Before Oracle and some of my other Dem. friends get all excited, I am solidly behind Obama but we had better accept that these operatives are not the usually Haley Barber button-down brains. Somehow, some way, the GOP has recruited or developed some creative situational thinkers and we had best not underestimate them.

Game on.

4 Comments:

At 5:16 PM, September 01, 2008, Blogger Rocky Cola said...

I predicted the Cards would come in 3rd this year. Looks like I may be right.

Politically, this was a homerun, it energized the base and as the attacks roll out, it is pretty obvious it bothers the D's.
As far as the personal attacks go, if the D's continue to go after her, the ticket will see higher approval numbers.
And Biden better watch out, the bar is so low on her that she will perform very well.
I have two daughters, it is kind of cool to point to her as an example.

 
At 7:47 PM, September 01, 2008, Blogger UMRBlog said...

A publicity coup, a role model and low expectations.

She's got an opportunity. The rest is up to her.

TYFCB

 
At 1:26 PM, September 02, 2008, Blogger JoeBama "Truth 101" Kelly said...

If I lose a golf bet to somebody that played good golf I have no problem paying. Likewise, I admire and respect good political strategy. You've had you share of successes Umr. Most notably with the Chief ORACLE. If McCain's people pull this off that would put them in your class. I don't think they will be able to do it. One George W. Bush trumps a thousand Reverend Wrights.

 
At 2:56 PM, September 02, 2008, Blogger UMRBlog said...

O.

The point is (Fischer-Nall was a good example) that, if the other guys start doing cool, smart things, you have to acknowledge quickly that you have to do cooler, smarter things.

The information age has lowered the age at which someone can be good at both strategic and tactical work. Used to have get your own nose bloodied some to get good at it. Now you can do it on a Wii, no blood, and you're a veteran.

ABC

 

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